سناریوهای فراروی بحران ژئوپلیتیک سوریه

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Imam Khomeini International University (RA)

2 Master's student of Political Science at Imam Khomeini International University

3 student of the cultural management course at the Higher National Defense University and a lecturer at the university

4 Master's student of International Relations, Imam Khomeini International University (RA)

Abstract

The Syrian crisis is considered one of the geopolitical crises that the regional and western countries caused by supporting the extremist Salafist forces and sending them to Syria since March 2011 (March 2019). An action that has caused the displacement of millions of Syrians, the destruction of Syrian infrastructure and regional and global consequences. Considering the current trend of the crisis and the drivers related to desirable and possible futures, different scenarios can be drawn for this crisis. In the research, using the analytical-explanatory method, the autopsy of these scenarios was discussed and the article found that although the Syrian presidential elections, by increasing the legitimacy of the ruling system in Syria, the areas of increasing the power and resistance of that system in against the opposition groups at the domestic level, but the fluid nature of the Syrian crisis is also exposed to regional and global geopolitical factors, and the set of elements of the aforementioned triple levels have a decisive influence on the fate of this crisis in the future.

Keywords